1 min readApr 16, 2019
It’s actually spelled “Bayes’ Theorem”. :-)
Note also that it’s more intuitive if you express it more symmetrically — like this:
P(E) * P(H | E) = P(H) * P(E | H)
Here’s how it works. There are two ways to compute the probability of both E and H occurring:
- The chance that E occurs, multiplied by the chance that H occurs given E.
- The chance that H occurs, multiplied by the chance that E occurs given H.
Dividing both sides by P(E) gives you the equation in your article.