Tom Ritchford
Jun 7, 2022

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Mathematician here.

No, the fact that life "only" took two billion years to get started on Earth proves almost nothing.

You are literally trying to fit a curve to a single point!

Life might be everywhere. Or we might be the only life in the universe.

I'm skeptical about either of these extremes, but the data we have is perfectly compatible with either of them.

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